Showing posts with label Production. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Production. Show all posts

Monday, March 19, 2007

Mexico

Mexico

Pemex CEO: Company is in critical condition
http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/miami/vi_23834.html

Mexico´s state oil monopoly is in "critical condition" and needs to boost exploration and seek outside expertise to replenish oil reserves that are currently set to last less than a decade, energy officials said Sunday.

President Felipe Calderón, however, said during a ceremony marking the 69th anniversary of the nation´s oil nationalization that there are no plans to privatize the industry and that Petróleos Mexicanos, or Pemex, "will always continue to belong to all Mexicans."

Pemex´s proven reserves have fallen to the equivalent of 9.3 years of production from 9.7 years in 2005, and daily output declined last year by 2.3 percent to about 3.2 million barrels, officials said at the ceremony in the Gulf coast state of Veracruz.

"The situation of Petróleos Mexicanos is critical and merits immediate attention," Pemex chief executive Jesús Reyes Heroles .

The company currently transfers most of its income to the government in taxes and revenue sharing, leaving little for investment. Pemex sent 93.2 percent of its profits to the government last year, accounting for 37.5 percent of federal income.

At the end of last year, proven reserves were 5.8 percent lower than in 2005. And production at the Cantarell oil field, the country´s biggest, fell by 11.9 percent last year.

"We should be conscious that this situation cannot go on," said Energy Secretary Georgina Kessel, referring to policies that bar Pemex from entering joint ventures and alliances.

She said Mexico must seek "complementary investment," especially in technology and scientific knowledge, in order to develop energy infrastructure projects.

"If we do not confront and resolve the problems posed by these challenges, the situation of Petróleos Mexicanos could be become unsustainable over the long term," Kessel said

Mexico´s constitution, however, currently bans private or outside investment in Pemex. Private companies are currently allowed to serve as outside contractors on specific projects.

"We have to invest, and invest seriously, in exploration and turn this situation around," Calderón said.

He said one option was to form strategic alliances to explore for new reserves in deep waters off the Gulf of Mexico.

Reyes Heroles said the company replaced 41 percent of production with new reserves last year, up from 26.4 percent in 2005 but well below the 100 percent, complete-replacement level officials are seeking.

In real terms, he said, Pemex´s exploration budget in last year was 17 percent less than in 2005 and 42 percent less than in 2004.

Pemex funds many of its projects by assuming debt, which rose by about US$880 million last year to about US$51 billion.

In addition, the company has about US$40.7 billion in labor-related debts and commitments.

Reyes Heroles said Pemex remains the most indebted oil company in the world. He also said the company continues to be a target for fuel thieves, with 207 illicit openings discovered in pipelines or valves last year.

Officials also pushed for building more refinery capacity, noting that Mexico now imports about 40 percent of its gasoline.

The country is also a net importer of petrochemical products.











Monthly Mexican Production - Crude and Condensates only






From CERA's 2005 Report:


In Mexico the Cantarell field (2.2 mbd peak) dominates Mexican liquid productive capacity currently at 3.9 mbd. Cantarell is expected to start its decline in 2006 according to Pemex, but it may have already begun to decline. This decline will be partially offset by a nitrogen injection project at the Ku–Maloob-Zaap heavy oil fields, increasing capacity to 800,000 bd from 300,000 bd now—plus the Tabasco Littoral light oil project, which will add 250,000 bd by 2009. Major deepwater potential exists in Mexico adjacent to the US Gulf of Mexico, but will not make a contribution to liquids capacity until at least 2012.

Thursday, February 8, 2007

Iran

04 - Iran



From CERA's 2005 Report:


Iranian crude and condensate capacity is estimated to be 4.17 mbd in 2005 and could rise to as much as 5.07 mbd by 2010 (see Figure 7b). However, a number of uncertainties could slow this expansion, including the current political situation, unattractive buyback contracts, and protracted negotiations, all of which have discouraged foreign investment. Indeed, one supermajor has stated in public that it would not invest in Iran at present. The liquids capacity growth story is still dominated by expansion of the mature fields, and a number of feasibility studies involving mature fields are under way. Before any capacity expansion occurs, annual depletion rates of around 350,000 bd have to be counterbalanced. The Azadegan contract was signed in 2004, but delays are already being experienced with drilling contracts, and the start-up will likely be delayed past 2007. Expansions are also expected at Darkhovin, Masjid-i-Suleiman, and more imminently at Nowruz/Souroush, where capacity should to rise to 190,000 bd in mid-2005, and a large increase in NGLs and condensate is expected as the South Pars gas condensate field is developed.



Wednesday, February 7, 2007

China

Number 6
China

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=42765

China's strong demand for energy spurred PetroChina to produce an aggregate of over 1 billion barrels of oil equivalent last year with crude oil accounting for 831 million barrels. Jiang forecast that PetroChina's oil output may rise to 2.3 million barrels a day this year, with gas production reaching 4.56 billion cubic feet a day. Its refineries will process an estimated 2.25 million barrels of crude daily.



From CERA's 2005 Report:

Capacity in China is projected to decline slowly from peak levels of 3.52 mbd in 2005 to 3.30 mbd in 2010. Many of the large onshore fields are in decline, but this will be partially offset by the increasing production from the Bohai Gulf area as the largest development, Peng Lai Phase 2, ramps up, and from the Wenchang and Pearl River Mouth areas.

Nigeria

Number 12

Nigeria reached its recent highs of production in 2005 at 2.7 mbpd of crude plus condensate, 2.5 mbpd of which was crude oil. In the first quarter of 2006 there were reports of insurgent/rebel violence knocking out up to 800,000 bpd of production. This is not shown in the numbers from either the EIA or IEA, which have averaged about 20,000 bpd different for the last 18 months. The lowest recored production seems to be 2.1 mbpd in March and April, or a drop of 400,000 bpd.






Tuesday, February 6, 2007

Algeria

Number 14
Algeria

Algeria, which has doubled its crude oil production over the past seven years, is aiming to increase its output by another 40 percent by 2010. And while the country is pushing for more oil production, it’s also hoping to dramatically increase mining activity.

Algeria now produces about 1.4 million barrels per day, and Sonatrach, the national oil company, believes the country can add another 600,000 bpd by ramping up foreign investment in new fields. The major foreign oil companies in Algeria include Anadarko Petroleum Corp., BP, Shell, BHP Billiton, ENI, and Hess Corp. Houston-based Anadarko is the biggest foreign operator, with a total Algerian production of 530,000 bpd. Anadarko is now partnering with Sonatrach to develop the El Merk project, expected to add 150,000 bpd by 2010. BP plans to nearly quintuple production at Rhourde El Baguel, Algeria’s second-largest oil field with about 3 billion barrels of proven reserves. Although the field is huge and has been producing for more than four decades, it has only produced 450 million barrels. By 2010, BP expects to raise output from the current 27,000 bpd to 125,000 bpd.

http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=386


Brazil

Number 16
Brazil


The difference between BP's and EIA's numbers are the roughly 250,000 bpd of ethanol Brazil produces.

***
March 22
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=42873

Brazil's federal energy company Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) last month saw domestic and international production grow 1.3% to 1.94Mb/d compared to January, the company said in a statement.
xxx Petrobras attributed the performance in part to resumed production at the P-37 platform in the Marlim field following a programmed shutdown in January.
xxx The start of production at the Cottonwood field in the US and improved performance in Ecuador were also behind the increase. xxx Domestic production increased 1.1% to 1.80Mb/d and international output in eight countries climbed 2.7% to 131,306b/d.
xxx Petrobras' international production came from operations in Angola, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, the US and Venezuela. Argentine output made up the bulk of this production with 57,193b/d.
xxx As for domestic production, offshore and onshore output was 1.56Mb/d and 231,900b/d respectively, the statement said.

xxxxxxx






Kazakhstan

Number 18
Kazakhstan


March 2007 STEO:1.29, 1.35, 1,45, 1.52 mbpd by 2008. I'm lowering target to 1.85 by 2010 from 2.0 on recent Kashagan news.

Three-field spreadsheet analysis.





Angola

Number 19

Angola

Angola, which may soon be joining OPEC, wants to increase its daily oil production to 2 million barrels by 2008. But to meet that goal the country will need about $10 billion in additional annual investment, and it appears the money is forthcoming.

Chevron is among the companies that have increased investments in the country’s oil sector. The company produces about 500,000 barrels per day in Angola (roughly one-third of the country’s output) and its subsidiary, Cabinda Gulf Oil Co., has started producing oil from the Landana North reservoir in the Tombua-Landana development area. Landana is about 50 miles off the coast of Cabinda, an enclave that belongs to Angola (though not contiguous with that country), located north of the Congo River mouth. When Landana’s peak production is reached in 2010, output for its 46 wells should be 100,000 barrels per day.


Posted on Jan. 17, 2007

http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=353


***
Saudi Arabia Warns Angola on Oil Expansion

3/14/2007
URL: http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=42519

Saudia Arabia, the most powerful member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, has told Angola, its newest entrant, not to assume it will be able to expand production past 2 million barrels a day, The Financial Times reports Wednesday, without citing sources. This is a blow to the world's biggest oil companies, which have already paid Angola billions of dollars for the right to explore and produce its oil. Angola joined the oil cartel in January and should reach the 2 million barrel a day threshold at the start of next year. It had a target ofproducing 2.5 million barrels a day by 2012, a target which has now been thrown into doubt.



Angola, one of the poorest places on Earth, is an oil industry darling
By Jad Mouawad
Published: March 19, 2007


http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/03/19/business/angola.php



Monday, February 5, 2007

Indonesia

21 - Indonesia

"D" Group.

Malaysia

23 Malaysia


India

25 India


Sunday, February 4, 2007

Yemen

31 Yemen

Interesting upswing in the last three months. But a decliner, nonetheless.


Azerbaijan

32 Azerbaijan



Oil & Gas Journal is apparently reporting that Azerbaijan increased its production in 2006 by 180,000 bpd, so that would give us a total of 630,000 bpd if we use BP's 2005 figure as a base.


Denmark

33 Denmark

Vietnam

Number 34
Vietnam

EIA has Vietnam at 340, 353, 403 - 2002 thru 2004 C+C table 22. No NGLs, other liquids, or RPGs, so the differences in numbers are differences in count. Let's bring in the EIA's STEO numbers. 390, 370, 400, 480. That's 2005 thru 2008. OK, now let's bring in EIA's CAB for an explanation...


It appears that Vietnam should be increasing its capacity in the next two to three years to at least 500,000 barrels per day.

More on Vietnam later. Do these numbers actually indicate CERA is calling a peak on a country 2 years previous?

The EIA's latest Short Term Energy Outlook shows Vietnam's capacity rising to 480,000 bpd in 2008.


The EIA also has a decent summary of Vietnam in its country analysis briefs. Rising domestic consumption and a lack of domestic refining capacity are two highlights.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Vietnam/Oil.html



Rigzone has several images of Vietnam's basins and exploration blocks.



Check out Vietnam's production rate. Look at the official reserve numbers. Does this make any sense? Vietnam has more than 600 million barrels or something ain't right.

Saturday, February 3, 2007

Uzbekistan

Number 44

Uzbekistan currently produces 126,000 bpd. It, along with Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan make up the "Caspian" producers.

With reserves of 600 million barrels, they have 13 years left at current production rates.

Chad

42 Chad

It has been reported that Chad currently produces 240,000 barrels per day.

Peru

Number 47 - Peru

The following news item describes Peruvian oil production possibly increasing to 220,000 bpd by 2010.


http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=388




Chart

Friday, February 2, 2007

Cameroon

Number 50

Cameroon has had declining oil production for a number of years and should continue to drop slightly.



Cameroon chart

Cuba

Number 48


Cuba is expected to boost its crude oil production over the next few years to at least 78,000 barrels per day.



Cuba Chart