Monday, March 19, 2007

Mexico

Mexico

Pemex CEO: Company is in critical condition
http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/miami/vi_23834.html

Mexico´s state oil monopoly is in "critical condition" and needs to boost exploration and seek outside expertise to replenish oil reserves that are currently set to last less than a decade, energy officials said Sunday.

President Felipe Calderón, however, said during a ceremony marking the 69th anniversary of the nation´s oil nationalization that there are no plans to privatize the industry and that Petróleos Mexicanos, or Pemex, "will always continue to belong to all Mexicans."

Pemex´s proven reserves have fallen to the equivalent of 9.3 years of production from 9.7 years in 2005, and daily output declined last year by 2.3 percent to about 3.2 million barrels, officials said at the ceremony in the Gulf coast state of Veracruz.

"The situation of Petróleos Mexicanos is critical and merits immediate attention," Pemex chief executive Jesús Reyes Heroles .

The company currently transfers most of its income to the government in taxes and revenue sharing, leaving little for investment. Pemex sent 93.2 percent of its profits to the government last year, accounting for 37.5 percent of federal income.

At the end of last year, proven reserves were 5.8 percent lower than in 2005. And production at the Cantarell oil field, the country´s biggest, fell by 11.9 percent last year.

"We should be conscious that this situation cannot go on," said Energy Secretary Georgina Kessel, referring to policies that bar Pemex from entering joint ventures and alliances.

She said Mexico must seek "complementary investment," especially in technology and scientific knowledge, in order to develop energy infrastructure projects.

"If we do not confront and resolve the problems posed by these challenges, the situation of Petróleos Mexicanos could be become unsustainable over the long term," Kessel said

Mexico´s constitution, however, currently bans private or outside investment in Pemex. Private companies are currently allowed to serve as outside contractors on specific projects.

"We have to invest, and invest seriously, in exploration and turn this situation around," Calderón said.

He said one option was to form strategic alliances to explore for new reserves in deep waters off the Gulf of Mexico.

Reyes Heroles said the company replaced 41 percent of production with new reserves last year, up from 26.4 percent in 2005 but well below the 100 percent, complete-replacement level officials are seeking.

In real terms, he said, Pemex´s exploration budget in last year was 17 percent less than in 2005 and 42 percent less than in 2004.

Pemex funds many of its projects by assuming debt, which rose by about US$880 million last year to about US$51 billion.

In addition, the company has about US$40.7 billion in labor-related debts and commitments.

Reyes Heroles said Pemex remains the most indebted oil company in the world. He also said the company continues to be a target for fuel thieves, with 207 illicit openings discovered in pipelines or valves last year.

Officials also pushed for building more refinery capacity, noting that Mexico now imports about 40 percent of its gasoline.

The country is also a net importer of petrochemical products.











Monthly Mexican Production - Crude and Condensates only






From CERA's 2005 Report:


In Mexico the Cantarell field (2.2 mbd peak) dominates Mexican liquid productive capacity currently at 3.9 mbd. Cantarell is expected to start its decline in 2006 according to Pemex, but it may have already begun to decline. This decline will be partially offset by a nitrogen injection project at the Ku–Maloob-Zaap heavy oil fields, increasing capacity to 800,000 bd from 300,000 bd now—plus the Tabasco Littoral light oil project, which will add 250,000 bd by 2009. Major deepwater potential exists in Mexico adjacent to the US Gulf of Mexico, but will not make a contribution to liquids capacity until at least 2012.